A capital decision.
Made inspectable.
Define a capital objective, compare hypothetical financing plans, challenge their modeled consequences across explicit scenarios, and preserve the reasoning behind your choice.
The worked decision compares three hypothetical plans against a $25B capital objective and 88% retained starting stake. Change the floor to 90%, then the capital objective to $30B, to see how the eligible plans change.
- Complete capital decision · PDF
- Standalone decision · HTML with exact reopening link
- Exact importable decision · JSON
- Capital method, equations and limits
- Complete demo walkthrough
- Full stack architecture and trust boundaries
For Plans A and B, the signed modeled existing-cohort allocations meet at a $635B pre-money residual. The business brief preserves the analyst’s choice, tradeoff, information needed and review trigger. Named scenarios have no assigned probabilities.
The ownership example
- Financing and Ownership Frontier brief · PDF
- Script-free brief, ownership curve and exact reopening link
- Complete financing and ownership snapshot · JSON
- Ownership constraint, curve and numerical boundaries
- Financing formulas, sources and boundaries
- Open Ownership Frontier
- Open the ordinary Financing Lens example
The new exact link adds the selected retention floor to all thirteen operating assumptions, the explicit bridge and the four round fields. One primary round, equal participating rights, no existing-holder subscriptions, zero fees and retained cash are assumed. The capital boundary is conditional on the entered quote and floor; it does not estimate financing need or availability.
The Horizon example
- Open Value Horizon · inspect a finite continuation
- Worked Value Horizon brief · PDF
- Script-free HTML brief with exact reopening link
- Complete Horizon analysis · JSON
- Formula, timing and verification method
Anthropic Base, ten continuation years and an illustrative $250B target. Horizon JSON is a separate analysis format; use its reopening link to restore the chosen years and target.
Continue the research
The existing model and evidence
- Company comparison, stress tests and complete Model
- Anthropic Base-to-Bull comparison · PDF
- Standalone comparison with exact reopening link
- Editable Excel model · reviewed version 3.0
- Research and financial review · PDF
- Offline-readable research report
- Desktop guide and local run instructions